Triple Crown

“Gunning” For A Derby Victory At Churchill (5/6/17)

May 6th, 2017 | By | Category: Churchill, Today's Picks, Triple Crown

Sloppy and good for Derby Day at Churchill — there should be some additional showers today, but all races should remain on the turf and the track may dry out a little, but still be wet for the big race so play accordingly. I’ve noticed a pattern at Churchill when it’s wet — early in the day speed is really good on the dirt and later the closers can run if there is a decent pace.  I will try that strategy today and want to improve on yesterday’s picks when I only had 3 winners on top and my second choice won the Oaks at a big price, so let’s see how I do today!

In race 12, The Grade 1 Kentucky Derby, Gunnevera (#10) had absolutely no chance as the favorite in the Florida Derby with a moderate pace and wide post — he will be flying late today with a clean trip and a decent pace today and should handle the track.  If you can get 10-1, that would be an overlay in my mind, so I will be betting across the board and then playing exotics with #’s 5, 8, 15 and 20.  I will be using McCracken (#15) on top in some exotics as well, since he needed his last race and loves Churchill, so if either of my top two choices win, I could be in good shape.  Patch (#20) is my longshot play to hit the number – wish it wasn’t post 20, but the value will be there!!

In race 7, The Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile, Roca Rojo (#6) loves a soft turf course and should be flying late to get the money as the second choice to Miss Temple City (#2) who may not be at best on this type of course — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 1 and 2.   Here’s the entire card and good luck to everyone!

Race 1: 3, 8 and 6

Race 2: 2, 6 and 4

Race 3: 3 (Best Bet) with 7 and 4

Race 4: 1, 6 and 5

Race 5: 1, 5 and 10

Race 6: 6, 7 and 2

Race 7: 6 (Best Bet) with 1 and 2

Race 8: 5 with 11 and 8

Race 9: 10, 7 and 4

Race 10: 8, 2 and 1

Race 11: 5 with 1 and 2

Race 12: 10 (Best Bet) with 15, 5, 20 and 8

Race 13: 9, 1 and 8

Race 14: 4, 14 and 11



“M&M” Make A Sweet Pair At Belmont (6/11/16)

Jun 11th, 2016 | By | Category: Belmont, Today's Picks, Triple Crown

Fast and firm for the Belmont Stakes card at Belmont — 6 grade 1′s to navigate, so it’s going to be a great day.  Let’s see if I can build on the 5 winners on top yesterday (including a 4-1 best bet) and help us make some money!

In race 6, The Grade 3 Jaipur, Mosler (#8) ran his eyeballs out for Mott in return and 6 furlongs is perfect for a stalk and pounce trip at a decent price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 7 and 2.

In race 9, The Grade 1 Met Mile, Marking (#13) comes back from Meydan working well off the layoff and has good positional speed to sit a good trip from the outside and hold off the closers at a great price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 7 and 6.

In race 12, Roman Approval (#1) has run well locally and cuts back against easier today with the right post — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 8 and 6.

In race 11, The Grade 1 Belmont Stakes, Stradivari (#5) is lightly raced and has shown he belongs with the big guns after great run in Preakness on a surface he may not have cared for — has positional speed in a race without much pace and will get the first jump on Exaggerator and the closers if he can go this far.  I am using #5 and #2 on top with #’s 11 and 12 in exactas and tri’s.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 3, 2 and 5

Race 2: 1 with 2 and 6

Race 3: 6, 4 and 5

Race 4: 7, 2 and 1

Race 5: 2 with 5 and 7

Race 6: 8 (Best Bet) with 7 and 2

Race 7: 3, 7 and 4

Race 8: 2, 7 and 9

Race 9: 13 (Best Bet) with 7 and 6

Race 10: 10 with 6 and 2

Race 11: 5, 2 and 11

Race 12: 1 (Best Bet) with 8 and 6

Race 13: 10 with 6 and 9



A “Dazzlng” Day At Pimlico (5/21/16)

May 21st, 2016 | By | Category: Today's Picks, Triple Crown

Sloppy and good for Preakness Day — had a great day yesterday with 5 winners on top, including the Black Eyed Susan, but today will be difficult because of the rain and possible switch of some turf races, so please check back during the day if they do make big changes!

In race 11, Dazzling Gem (#7) made wide move in Arkansas Derby and ran out of gas late — should get a much better trip today and is bred to like it wet!  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 6 and 5.

In race 5, The Grade 3 Maryland Sprint, Cinco Charlie (#4) is the main speed here, likes it wet and should wire these as the second choice.  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 3 and 7.

In race 12, The Grade 2 Dixie, Takeover Target (#4) loves a soft turf course and may be on or just off a slow pace and win this at a decent price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 7 and 11.

In race 13, The Grade 1 Preakness Stakes, Exaggerator (#5) moves way up on a wet track and the pace will be fast today to set up late run and will be a much better price than Nyquist – key in all exactas, tris and superfectas with #’s 3, 1 and 7.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 2, 6 and 3

Race 2: 2, 5 and 1

Race 3: 3 with 2 and 9

Race 4: 4, 14 and 10

Race 5: 4 (Best Bet) with 3 and 7

Race 6: 8, 4 and 2

Race 7: 4 with 7 and 2

Race 8: 10, 12 and 1

Race 9: 6, 1 and 5

Race 10: 8, 6 and 12

Race 11: 7 (Best Bet) with 6 and 5

Race 12: 4 (Best Bet) with 7 and 11

Race 13: 5 with 3, 1 and 7

Race 14: 11, 7 and 3



Going “Freestyle” On Derby Day At Churchill (5/7/16)

May 7th, 2016 | By | Category: Churchill, Today's Picks, Triple Crown

Fast and firm for Kentucky Derby Day at Churchill with a tremendous 14 race card that will give nightmares to handicappers everywhere.  It doesn’t help that I didn’t exactly set the world on fire during the Kentucky Oaks card with only 3 short prices winners on top and no best bet winners, so let’s see if I can do better today.

In race 5, Freestyle (#10) gets tricky outside post, but gets class relief and should get a perfect stalking trip — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 3 and 2.

In race 11, The Grade 1 Turf Classic, Grand Tito (#1) is in great form and should sit right off the leaders and make a late run — the price will be right for an upset!  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 8 and 11.

In race 13, Uncle Walter (#7) drops from stakes company and the cutback to sprint should be perfect to score — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 6 and 5.

In race 12, The Grade 1 Kentucky Derby, there seems to be few speed types and many closers, which may favor the front runners.  But most of the speed drew outside, so maybe the pace will be in the 46 and change range, which might favor horses that can finish and the prices will be right to try and defeat Nyquist today.  I am keying two horses on top: My Man Sam (#6) who may have the most upside and acts like he will love the distance and Mohaymen (#14) whose Florida Derby was an abomination and who will be in perfect stalking position at a much better price.  I will use #’s 5, 11, 13 and 19 to round out my exactas, trifectas and superfectas, plus play across the board on #6 who might be 20-1.  Good luck to all and here is the entire card!

Race 1: 4, 5 and 2

Race 2: 8. 1 and 3

Race 3: 11, 10 and 1

Race 4: 7, 6 and 1

Race 5: 10 (Best Bet) with 3 and 2

Race 6: 9, 1 and 4

Race 7: 1 with 6 and 8

Race 8: 10 with 8 and 2

Race 9: 1, 3 and 9

Race 10: 7, 10 and 12

Race 11: 1 (Best Bet) with 8 and 11

Race 12: 6 and 14 with 5, 11, 13 and 19

Race 13: 7 (Best Bet) with 6 and 5

Race 14: 7, 4 and 6