Fast but off the turf for opening day at Churchill – I have been on a hot streak lately so I thought I would try and stay sharp and handicap here since Belmont has cancelled, so let’s see how I do.

In race 8, Queen Mum (#8) ran great in debut and Casse keeps them in top form — should love the added ground today.  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 6 and 4.

In race 10, Bravazo (#6) has already won here at a mile and just ran second to a colt who may win the BC Juvenile — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 9 and 8.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 3 (Best Bet) with 4 and 6

Race 2: 10 (Best Bet) with 4 and 1

Race 3: 2, 9 and 12

Race 4: 6, 4 and 1

Race 5: 6, 8 and 13

Race 6: 11, 17 and 9

Race 7: 7, 1 and 5

Race 8: 8 (Best Bet) with 6 and 4

Race 9: 1, 2 and 7

Race 10: 6 (Best Bet) with 9 and 8

Race 11: 11, 2 and 10

Fast and firm for the Stephen Foster card at Churchill with many great stakes races on tap, so let’s see how I do with tonight’s card!

In race 4, Kismet’s Heels (#9) needed last and gets back on favorite surface — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 2 and 5.

In race 6, Pleuven (#7) fires every time and gets perfect trip to repeat here — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 6 and 5.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 1, 7 and 5

Race 2: 5, 5 and 6

Race 3: 4 with 3 and 2

Race 4: 9 (Best Bet) with 2 and 5

Race 5: 6, 2 and 1

Race 6: 7 (Best Bet) with 6 and 5

Race 7: 3 with 1 and 5

Race 8: 4, 3 and 1

Race 9: 4, 2 and 12

Race 10: 2, 3 and 10

Race 11: 3 with 9 and 8

Sloppy and good for Derby Day at Churchill — there should be some additional showers today, but all races should remain on the turf and the track may dry out a little, but still be wet for the big race so play accordingly. I’ve noticed a pattern at Churchill when it’s wet — early in the day speed is really good on the dirt and later the closers can run if there is a decent pace.  I will try that strategy today and want to improve on yesterday’s picks when I only had 3 winners on top and my second choice won the Oaks at a big price, so let’s see how I do today!

In race 12, The Grade 1 Kentucky Derby, Gunnevera (#10) had absolutely no chance as the favorite in the Florida Derby with a moderate pace and wide post — he will be flying late today with a clean trip and a decent pace today and should handle the track.  If you can get 10-1, that would be an overlay in my mind, so I will be betting across the board and then playing exotics with #’s 5, 8, 15 and 20.  I will be using McCracken (#15) on top in some exotics as well, since he needed his last race and loves Churchill, so if either of my top two choices win, I could be in good shape.  Patch (#20) is my longshot play to hit the number – wish it wasn’t post 20, but the value will be there!!

In race 7, The Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile, Roca Rojo (#6) loves a soft turf course and should be flying late to get the money as the second choice to Miss Temple City (#2) who may not be at best on this type of course — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 1 and 2.   Here’s the entire card and good luck to everyone!

Race 1: 3, 8 and 6

Race 2: 2, 6 and 4

Race 3: 3 (Best Bet) with 7 and 4

Race 4: 1, 6 and 5

Race 5: 1, 5 and 10

Race 6: 6, 7 and 2

Race 7: 6 (Best Bet) with 1 and 2

Race 8: 5 with 11 and 8

Race 9: 10, 7 and 4

Race 10: 8, 2 and 1

Race 11: 5 with 1 and 2

Race 12: 10 (Best Bet) with 15, 5, 20 and 8

Race 13: 9, 1 and 8

Race 14: 4, 14 and 11

Sloppy and good for the Oaks card at Churchill — a great card, but pay attention to the turf races which are currently on, but weather will be wet so if they are taken off, I will have to make changes to those races.  Big day tomorrow also, which could be wet as well, so see if there are any biases today that may carry over to Derby Day!

In race 11, The Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks, Salty (#14) gets tough post, but has shown a great closing kick at Gulfstream in first 3 races and may love it here and run them down late if able to get a good trip — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 13 and 4

In race 6, The Grade 2 Alysheba, Honorable Duty (#4) gets a wicked pace to set up late run and will be a nice price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 6 and 9.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 6, 3 and 1

Race 2: 2, 1 and 4

Race 3: 2 (Best Bet) with 5 and 3

Race 4: 7, 4 and 8

Race 5: 4 with 8 and 1

Race 6: 4 (Best Bet) with 8 and 1

Race 7: 12 with 8 and 3

Race 8: 9, 10 and 4

Race 9: 7, 12 and 1

Race 10: 6, 7 and 4

Race 11: 14 (Best Bet) with 13 and 4

Race 12: 4, 8 and 7

Race 13: 4 with 10 and 11