Breeders Cup

Hoping For A “Big Score” At The Breeder’s Cup (11/4/16)

Nov 4th, 2016 | By | Category: Breeders Cup, Today's Picks

Fast and firm for day 1 of the Breeder’s Cup at Santa Anita.  I haven’t been so excited in a long time, because so many horses opted for their second choices, so there is intrigue in race after race.  Let’s hope there is no pronounced speed bias and that the track is kind so runners can win from anywhere on the track.  Keep your options open if a bias does appear and make sure you have a key horse in one or two races so you can single and then spread more in other races.  You should also try and beat a couple of the big favorites over the next two days — I think Songbird is the most likely beaten favorite and maybe Tepin — so let’s see how things play out!

In race 6, The Grade 1 Juvenile Turf, Big Score (#6) looked great in big win here in last and got a top figure — Euros not all that impressive in here and the race flow should favor closers.  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 11 and 1.

In race 7, The Grade 1 Dirt Mile, Gun Runner (#9) has tricky post, but should sit about 5 lengths off a very fast pact set by Run Happy (#7) and Dortmund (#3) and have enough bottom on the cut back to run them down late at a decent price.  Key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 9 and 3.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1:  8, 6 and 5

Race 2: 3, 12 and 5

Race 3: 8, 4 and 1

Race 4: 6,8 and 3

Race 5: 9, 8 and 4

Race 6: 6 (Best Bet) with 11 and 1

Race 7: 9 (Best Bet) with 8 and 3

Race 8: 3, 14 and 1

Race 9: 6, 5 and 8

Race 10: 4, 5 and 1

 

 



“Green” Is Money At Keeneland (10/31/15)

Oct 31st, 2015 | By | Category: Breeders Cup, Keeneland, Today's Picks

Fast and good for Breeders Cup Classic Day at Keeneland.  Only one winner on top on day 1, but my top choices ran second 3 times, including a tough beat with my best bet in race 6.  I did tout Casse’s horses and they both ran great.  Let’s see if I can have a better day and pick a few winners.

In race 9, The Grade 1 Breeders Cup Juvenile, Greenpoint Crusader (#3) goes for a low profile trainer, but this 2-year old may be the best of his generation by far given his great performance in the Champagne and should handle two turns just fine and run down the speed — I will be happy with 3-1.  Key in all doubles, pick 3′s and pick 4′s and play an exacta box with #’s 5 and 1.

In race 4, The Grade 1 Breeders Cup Turf Sprint, No Silent (#9) has been a new animal after being gelded 3 races back and has the perfect running style to sit a great trip here and will be a great price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 3 and 11.

In race 7, The Grade 1 Breeders Cup Sprint, Salutos Amigos (#10) came to life in The Vosburgh and has the right style to come and get these late at a big price — key in all doubles and pick 3′s and play an exacta box with #’s 13 annd 5.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 2 with 9 and  8

Race 2:  5, 10 and 4

Race 3: 2, 7 and 9

Race 4: 9 (Best Bet) with 3 and 11

Race 5: 2 with 5 and 14

Race 6: 5, 3 and 12

Race 7: 10 (Best Bet) with 13 and 5

Race 8: 10, 4 and 1

Race 9: 3 (Best Bet) with 5 and 1

Race 10: 7, 1 and 9

Race 11: 4, 1 and 3

Race 12: 8, 6 and 4

 



“Chatterbox” Speaks Loudly At Keeneland (10/30/15)

Oct 29th, 2015 | By | Category: Breeders Cup, Keeneland, Today's Picks

Fast and yielding for day 1 of the Breeders Cup at Keeneland — a very competitive card from top to bottom, including the first 4 BC races, so see how a drying out main track and turf course are playing and play accordingly.

In race 9, The Grade 1 BC Distaff, I’m a Chatterbox (#1) gets perfect stalking post in a race filled with speed and may sit the trip at a price and outfinish these if trouble free — key in all doubles, pick 3′s and pick 4 and play an exacta box with #’s 12 and 7.  My original choice, Sheer Drama (#14) is marooned way on the outside and if she wins from here, she beats me!

In race 6, The Grade 1 BC Juvenile Turf, Airoforce (#8) took last when wide all the way and on this turf course — has leading connections at the meet and will be 3-1 or higher.  Key in all doubles, pick 3′s and pick 4 and play an exacta box with #’s 2 and 7.

In race 7, The Grade 1 BC Dirt Mile, Lea (#5) has faced monsters in handicap division on dirt and was supposed to race in the Turf Mile on Saturday, but seemingly found a better spot for Mott who knows how to place them — Liam’s Map (#3) is the best horse, but may be compromised by a fast pace and will be a very short price, so why not try and beat with a quality animal like Lea.

In race 8, The Grade 1 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, Sapphire Kitten (#7) did everything but get unsaddled in last turf stake at Keeneland — can turn the tables on Harmonize (#8) and will be a much bigger price.  Key in all doubles, pick 3′s and pick 4 and play an exacta box with #’s4 and 8.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 3, 6 and 5

Race 2: 5 with 6 and 7

Race 3: 4, 6 and 7

Race 4: 9, 8 and 3

Race 5: 5, 6 and 9

Race 6: 8 (Best Bet) with 2 and 7

Race 7: 5 with 1 and 3

Race 8: 7 with 4 and 8

Race 9: 1 (Best Bet) with 12 and 7

Race 10: 13, 9 and 4



“Bombs Away” At Breeders Cup (11/2/14)

Nov 2nd, 2014 | By | Category: Breeders Cup

It was two days of surprising long shots and a confusing combination of speed horses and closers that made the 2014 a real nightmare for handicappers everywhere!  No excuses, but this handicapper would never have selected many of the winners — including Take Charge Brandi (who paid $125 in the Juvenile Fillies).  I do have some observations about a few of the performances that may carry over to next year!

1. Upstart may be a real contender for the triple crown in 2015 as a GREAT NY BRED STORY!  He had a very wide trip in the Juvenile for most of the race from post 13 and still made a sustained run to stay on for 3rd.  Any improvement next year and watch out!

2. Imperia was making a big run on the inside into the stretch during the Juvenille Turf when the hole closed and he absolutely had nowhere to go for the entire stretch –  should be a top 3-year old on the turf next year!

3. Work All Week ran his eyeballs out right on a torrid pace in the Sprint and all he does is win at this distance.  Maybe he will be the best sprinter in the country next year!

4. California Chrome is a California horse — loves Santa Anita and may have won with a little luck.  Props for coming back when everyone jumped off the bandwagon!

5. Bobby’s Kitten loved the cutback in the turf sprint, but even watching the replay knowing he won, I still can’t believe he got up.  He may be a monster if learns to rate a little in his mile races!

Not a very successful handicapping day, but the results destroyed the best handicappers in the country!  I can’t tell you how much I look forward to the 2015 Breeders Cup in Keeneland where the track will be kind to closers on both the dirt and turf!  My kind of racetrack!