Archive for August 19th, 2009

Betting Returns for First Three Weeks of Saratoga Meeting

Aug 19th, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga

Using a wagering model I have developed, I have taken the picks listed on HorsePicking.com for the first three weeks of the Saratoga meeting and determined the gain or loss by following my system.

The model hypothesizes that using the listed picks one should wager as follows:

1. Using all horses listed play daily doubles for $1 bets

2. Using all horse listed play Pick 3s for $1 bets

3. For all races with at least three listed horse, play $5 exacta boxes

The results are positive for the 18 cards so far in the meeting. Here is how you would have fared if you followed the listed picks and my betting system:

1. A cumulative total of $7,072 was wagered for an average of $392.89 per card. A total of $8,638 was collected for an average of about $480 per card. Net profit was $1,566 in total or $87 per card.

2. For daily doubles, a total of $1,093 was wagered and $1,278 collected for a net gain of $185

3. For Pick 3s, a total of $2.559 was wagered and $2,645 collected for a gain of $86

4. For Exacta boxes, a total of $3,420 was wagered and $4,715 collected for a gain of $1,295

The exactas seem to be the best return on money with a 38% return. The 17% return on daily doubles and 3% for Pick 3s is nothing to be ashamed of as well.

I am a full time investment adviser with LakeView Asset Management, LLC While I am doing quite well (up nearly 30%) this year, the HorsePicking.com system developed by Mitch Rosen and myself, Scott Rothbort is producing returns than many investors would love to have.

Good luck with the rest of the meeting at Saratoga.



Day 19 At Saratoga — Winning Is “Appealing” (8/19)

Aug 19th, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga, Today's Picks

Overnight storms have made the main track good and the turf good.  Race 1 is off the turf to be run at 7 furlongs.

Assuming the weather holds up and the remaining races are run on the turf, Gran Appeal (#6) is the choice in race 6. Trainer Seth Benzel has been shut out so far at the meet, but this filly is very consistent and has shown a liking for some give in the course.  I’m using her in an exacta box with Why West (#5) and Vraiment Rouge (#2) and in doubles and pick 3′s.

In race 5, there is a ton of speed signed on this this turf sprint so I’m picking Legally Blanca (#6) to run down the leaders late!  Use her in an exacta box with Starfish Bay (#9) and Gemswick Park (#1) and in doubles and pick 3′s. Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 3 and 6

Race 2: 4 and 2

Race 3: 1 and 7

Race 4: 4 and 5

Race 5: 6 (Best Bet) with 9 and 1

Race 6: 6 (Best Bet) with 5 and 2

Race 7: 4 with 1 and 7

Race 8: 9 and 1

Race 9: 1 and 9

Race 10: 4 with 7 and 8