Archive for August 2009

Day 30 At Saratoga — Say “What” (8/31)

Aug 31st, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga, Today's Picks

A beautiful week on tap for the last week at The Spa with the track fast and the turf today is good.  I’ve learned so much during this meet and I can’t wait to write about it and share my thoughts with all of you!

As for today, in race 9, The Saratoga Dew, What A Pear (#5) can benefit from some early scratches to sit close to a slow pace and get the first jump on the closers in this 1 1/8 contest.  I will play her in an exacta box with Borrowing Base (#9) and key in doubles and pick 3′s.

In race 10, a competitive turf route, Midwatch (#1) can lead them all the way in this fairly paceless race and he can handle a soft course and this level of competition.  I’m boxing him in exactas with Dancing Tin Man (#3) and Ruff and Ready (#6) and keying in doubles and pick 3′s.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 1 and 4

Race 2: 6 and 2

Race 3: 3 and 6

Race 4: 3 (Best Bet)

Race 5: 2B, 4 and 6

Race 6: 4 with 1 and 7

Race 7: 11, 14 and 8

Race 8: 7 with 1 and 3

Race 9: 5 (Best Bet) and 9

Race 10: 1 (Best Bet) with 3 and 6



Day 29 Recap At Saratoga — A Reversal Of Form And Fortune (8/30)

Aug 31st, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga, Today's Picks

Just like horses, handicappers can have dramatic form reversals which can lead the way back to profitability.  After starting out the week very cold, I got hot very quickly on Sunday’s card.  No Travers hangover for me.  After not even being close in races 1 and 2, I listed winners in 8 of the next 9 races, including 5 on top, and had a flat bet profit of $42.20!  From races 3-8, I listed 5 doubles, 4 pick 3′s, 1 exacta box and 1 cold exacta!  Prices in the pick 3′s ranged from $83 to $374 — some nice payoffs due to listing a 10-1 shot in race 4.

After being beaten a nose in race 9 which broke the winning streak, I came back with a cold late double for $155, a cold exacta in race 11 for $147 which included a $35 horse on top!  The pick 6 came back over $36,000 and I was a nose away from listing my second pick 6 of the meet.  On a day like this, I guy can dream, but I’m only one bad day away from a nightmare!



Day 29 At Saratoga — Time For A New Pet “Project” (8/30)

Aug 30th, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga, Today's Picks

It’s a beautiful day at Saratoga, but yesterday’s rain has left the track muddy and the turf course soft.  Only races 4 and 9 remain on the turf so the card is not as good as it should be.  Only three races really worth talking about and betting on.  In race 10, The Personal Ensign, Icon Project (#6) may get a good pace set-up, likes a wet surface and can handle the demanding 1 1/4 distance.  I’m keying her in doubles and pick 3′s.

In race 4, Bestowed (#3) is making his third start after a long layoff, gets a soft course and an inside post — he is my pick in this competitive statebred turf mile.  I’ll play him in an exacta box with Unflagging (#9) and Piazza DiSpagna (#5) and in doubles and pick 3′s.

In race 9, Gaelic Storm (#8) likes soft turf and can stay close to a contested pace and rally to post the upset.  I’m using him in an exacta box with Ballast (#2) and Flying Discount (#1) and key in doubles and pick 3′s.  Here’s the entire card and good luck!

Race 1: 6 and 2

Race 2: 1 and 7

Race 3: 5 and 2

Race 4: 3 (Best Bet) with 9 and 5

Race 5: 4 and 6

Race 6: 8 and 5

Race 7: 2B and 3

Race 8: 1X and 4

Race 9: 8 (Best Bet) with 2 and 1

Race 10: 6 (Best Bet) and 4

Race 11: 8 with 2B and 6



Day 28 (Travers Day) Recap At Saratoga — Not A Complete Washout (8/29)

Aug 30th, 2009 | By | Category: Saratoga, Today's Picks

So Travers day has come and gone and Mother Nature tried to rain on our parade and only managed to knock a few races off the turf.  The fields were still competitive and it was a good day to try and make some money when all was said and done.

So my buddy Scott Rothbort and I decided just to play my most profitable bet at the meeting and bet $5 exacta boxes in all races where I listed 3 horses.  It was a disaster and we lost every bet — $150 in all.  So why wasn’t Travers Day a complete washout?  Well, if you played my other profitable bets ($1 doubles and $1 pick 3′s) on all races, along with the exacta boxes, you made a few dollars.  I listed 7 winners, only two on top, and got hot in races 5, 6 and 7 (including a $142 double and $493 pick 3), so you made enough gains overall on both those bets to overcome the exacta losses.  I hope you stuck to the plan and made some money.